If it is an Expectation, It is not a Self Fulfilling Prophecy

In presence of uncertainty about future outcomes, people form what are referred to as ‘expectations’. An expectation is the event or outcome that is expected to be most likely to occur at some future date. In presence of uncertainty, there always exists, however, a strictly positive probability that what is expected to be most likely to occur does not in reality occur.

For illustration, it might be expected that Senator Warren is the most likely to secure nomination of Democrats for President of the United States of America. But then again, the nominee could turn out to be Senator Kamara. If Senator Kamara wins the nomination, the expectation formed in the lead up to the primaries is not realized. We have then that in presence of demand for forming of expectations that there always is risk that outcomes which obtain in future deviate from expectations that were formed in past. This leads to an important inference, which is, observing the outcome that Senator Kamara won the nomination does not imply that she was the favorite to win.

An outcome does not necessarily coincide with what people expected a priori to be most likely to occur.

Suppose then a matter that lies in entirety within your control. Could you form…